Simplistic-Doe
0x7c1cbe3af838101e4348872df3faf26e9b5df824
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-324.80
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
105 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
29 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
14 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
14 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.06Jul 22, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.00Jul 22, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.27Jul 22, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.00Jul 22, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.01Jul 22, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.00Jul 22, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.02Jul 22, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$2.56Jul 22, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.01Jul 22, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$2.08Jul 22, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Jul 22, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.00Jul 22, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1.06Jul 22, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.