Competent-Pillar
0x7c2367908663b6ffaa8764a50a9ff1eacd45418b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.6K
Realised
$-377.77
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- IGNACIO MONZON
Piracicaba: Matias Soto vs Ignacio Monzon
5362 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-194.57
- THUNDERTALK GAMING
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
3947 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
2410 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.55
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
2159 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-129.52
- LUCA CASTELNUOVO
Targu Mures: Luca Castelnuovo vs Franco Agamenone
1960 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
1272 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-635.83
- CONVICTION
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage
1244 shares @ 79.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-987.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
1064 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Neither team to score first?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
944 shares @ 73.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-691.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$5.26Aug 4, 02:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.61Aug 4, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.92Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$171.12Aug 3, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.17Aug 3, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00Aug 3, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$11.00Aug 3, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$10.99Aug 3, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$10.06Aug 3, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$104.17Aug 3, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$100.28Aug 3, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$88.17Aug 3, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$82.40Aug 3, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$82.44Aug 3, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$22.81Aug 3, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$12.13Aug 3, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$4.48Aug 3, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$10.50Aug 3, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$14.93Aug 3, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$5.13Aug 3, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $41.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 04:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.