Awkward-Epoch
0x7c3a488bfa2c034c8d70763132fa630c1c11dfcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$80.94
Total PnL
$-8.54
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 77.3¢·now 76.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$8.68
$-0.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 16?
8 shares @ 86.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$7.16
$0.49
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
7 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$6.99
$1.00
- NO
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.14
$-0.03
- NO
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
11 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 30, 2027$5.94
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?
7 shares @ 88.7¢·now 88.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.93
$-0.02
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.88
$0.04
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.75
$-0.03
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$5.34
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$5.31
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$4.18Jul 16, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?$10.10Jul 16, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$11.46Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$8.61Jul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLITF Rochester: Henry Lieberman vs Dillon Beckles$3.14Jul 15, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?$6.13Jul 15, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLYunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5$1.76Jul 15, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 17?$9.15Jul 15, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?$5.82Jul 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRome: Teodora Kostovic vs Lucia Bronzetti$3.37Jul 15, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series?$5.03Jul 15, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?$6.20Jul 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?$5.97Jul 15, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$5.29Jul 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Rochester: Henry Lieberman vs Dillon Beckles$2.65Jul 15, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$5.39Jul 15, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Ida Wobker vs Han Shi$1.53Jul 15, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$7.09Jul 15, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$5.00Jul 15, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$3.33Jul 15, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.