Blond-Redhead
0x7c40df456a6295c376deef32ba9b9ae768dd3d64
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$18.75
Total PnL
$135.21
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
100%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.25
$-2.75
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.75
$-3.25
- YES
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.75
$-3.25
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.25
$-3.75
- YES
Trump out as President by July 31?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.75
$-4.25
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.75
$-4.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$3.00Jul 28, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.07Jul 28, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?$2.61Jul 28, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.01Jul 28, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.18Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$4.00Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$2.92Jul 28, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$1.08Jul 28, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$0.40Jul 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$2.33Jul 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$0.03Jul 28, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$0.01Jul 27, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$0.18Jul 27, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$0.10Jul 27, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?$0.25Jul 27, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$22.66Jul 27, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?$5.00Jul 27, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?$2.18Jul 27, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1.84Jul 27, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
38 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.