Blond-Godfather
0x7c41386c8276003452edf1bf6a99392c7900500d
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
142
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-0.67
Realised
$0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 25?
33 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$32.82
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on July 25?
32 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$32.34
$0.34
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 25?
32 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$32.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 25?
32 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$32.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C or higher on July 26?
32 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$32.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on July 26?
32 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$32.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on July 26?
32 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$32.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 26?
32 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$31.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 31°C on July 25?
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$19.97
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 26?
20 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$19.71
$-0.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on July 24?$16.10Jul 25, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be 100°F or higher on July 24?$16.06Jul 25, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 33°C on July 24?$5.00Jul 25, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 32°C on July 24?$16.08Jul 25, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 31°C on July 24?$9.26Jul 25, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 106°F or higher on July 24?$10.00Jul 25, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 24?$16.05Jul 25, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C or below on July 27?$7.00Jul 25, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 27?$4.95Jul 25, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C or higher on July 27?$6.00Jul 25, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 26?$3.98Jul 25, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 26?$4.97Jul 25, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 110-111°F on July 26?$16.00Jul 25, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 102°F or higher on July 26?$16.00Jul 25, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 26?$12.00Jul 25, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on July 26?$16.00Jul 25, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on July 26?$16.00Jul 25, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on July 25?$16.00Jul 25, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on July 25?$16.00Jul 25, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on July 26?$16.00Jul 25, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $11.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 01:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.