Potable-Motorcar
0x7c43d04ff881eb3dcc05758d3a1d4b71212ec080
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$885.70
Total PnL
$-570.52
Realised
$-14.17
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in July?
298 shares @ 90.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$294.72
$26.72
- YES
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?
672 shares @ 17.4¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$235.21
$118.21
- NO
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?
414 shares @ 72.3¢·now 41.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$171.74
$-127.64
- YES
Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in July?
129 shares @ 78.1¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$119.32
$18.80
- YES
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?
546 shares @ 54.2¢·now 10.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$59.82
$-236.50
- NO
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.45
$1.95
- NO
Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?
870 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.43
$-235.43
- YES
Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?
116 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.30
- YES
Will Seoul have between 70-75mm of precipitation in April?-N5ag
115 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in April?
66 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$7.00Jul 29, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$2.62Jul 29, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$1.05Jul 29, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$31.60Jul 29, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$59.30Jul 29, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$55.30Jul 29, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$49.70Jul 29, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$17.10Jul 29, 01:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.65Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$2.43Jul 28, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$11.00Jul 28, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$33.00Jul 28, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$55.00Jul 28, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$55.00Jul 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$99.00Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$2.75Jul 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$2.75Jul 28, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$5.50Jul 28, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$11.00Jul 28, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in July?$10.44Jul 28, 14:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $22.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 22:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.