Wallet digest

active

Activity score

41/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-9.1K

Realised

$-16.90

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 55

YES
Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5
15819 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026
$0.00
$-256.60
UNDER
Frosinone Calcio vs. Delfino Pescara 1936: O/U 3.5
3401 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026
$0.00
$-1.3K
SANTA CLARA BRONCOS
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats
2118 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-995.64
GREAT BRITAIN
First Round Pool B: Great Britain vs. Mexico
2078 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026
$0.00
$-374.00
MIAMI HURRICANES
Miami Hurricanes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (W)
1370 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$0.00
$-2.72
OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?
1231 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026
$0.00
$-529.12
PARIVISION
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
1188 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$0.00
$-464.00
SOUTH KOREA
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea
1067 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026
$0.00
$-160.00
PENGUINS
Avalanche vs. Penguins
1066 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-296.46
CLOUD9
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 4 Winner
1000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026
$0.00
$-590.00

Recent activity

REFERRAL_REWARD$3.58Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$2.74Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$2.21Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$9.47Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$10.07Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$11.32Jun 14, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$6.68Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$12.48Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$3.61Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$6.60Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$6.13Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$13.26Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$4.76Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$6.83Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$9.16Jun 5, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$5.59Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$1.94Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$11.36Jun 1, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$5.34May 31, 00:35 UTC
REFERRAL_REWARD$18.80May 30, 00:35 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100

read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

Elevated mirror risk

Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal

review

3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.

Resolved-only track record

block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity15 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry58 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 3
Avg trade size: $69.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 27, 20:17 UTC
Last active: Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 00:08:12 UTC·src:Polymarket Data