Spicy-Seabass
0x7c554c23e7307608d65cf0ce63dd550b49afa8b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$14.18
Total PnL
$188.76
Realised
$11.75
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
6 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$5.56
$2.50
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
4 shares @ 24.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$3.72
$2.83
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House
2 shares @ 77.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$2.10
$0.46
- NO
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?
1 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$1.48
$0.11
- NO
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.31
$0.34
- YES
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
37996 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$28.80
- YES
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
37996 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$28.80
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
37996 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$28.80
- YES
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
37996 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$28.80
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
37996 shares @ -0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$28.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$7.49Oct 5, 16:35 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Interest Rates: September 2024$250.00Sep 17, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$241.75Sep 3, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$249.75Sep 3, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$60.00Sep 3, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$197.50Sep 3, 05:22 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Interest Rates: September 2024$70.00Aug 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$67.76Aug 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$69.86Aug 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$52.50Aug 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$19.60Aug 28, 18:33 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Interest Rates: September 2024$10.07Aug 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$9.67Aug 28, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$9.98Aug 28, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$7.50Aug 28, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$2.80Aug 28, 10:44 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Interest Rates: September 2024$150.00Aug 25, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$118.50Aug 25, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$149.70Aug 25, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$143.85Aug 25, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $71.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 5, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".