Variable-Bond
0x7c59033bed401d841ed2a3f29cce6ca411339c48
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-178.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
149 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
52 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
49 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?$9.74Jan 2, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?$9.87Jan 2, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.37Dec 30, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.93Dec 30, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.94Dec 30, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.96Dec 28, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Dec 26, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.00Dec 24, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 24, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.51Dec 24, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 21, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$20.00Nov 18, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$10.00Nov 17, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$10.00Nov 10, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$20.00Nov 7, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$20.00Nov 6, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$0.70Nov 6, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 27?$1.00Nov 6, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,900 October 27-November 2?$2.04Nov 6, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$20.00Oct 31, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 14:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".