Unequaled-Ton
0x7c63520c2ca9b336af0c205b9ccf68217bb393d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$673.96
Total PnL
$-14.3K
Realised
$-145.75
Win rate
45%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 8?
1408 shares @ 22.8¢·now 18.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$260.41
$-60.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 8?
1567 shares @ 22.3¢·now 15.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$234.98
$-114.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 9?
2529 shares @ 6.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$101.16
$-66.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 9?
1481 shares @ 7.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$51.85
$-54.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 8?
1768 shares @ 8.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$18.56
$-125.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?
2804 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$7.01
$-220.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 17?
16553 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-44.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 17?
16353 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-24.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 17?
11197 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on June 17?
10543 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9?$0.05Aug 8, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 8?$0.11Aug 8, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 9?$0.96Aug 8, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?$37.14Aug 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10?$1.20Aug 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 10?$0.15Aug 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 8?$31.14Aug 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 8?$1.65Aug 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 8?$1.20Aug 8, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 9?$10.26Aug 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 9?$1.70Aug 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 9?$7.43Aug 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 9?$21.62Aug 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 9?$28.81Aug 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 9?$1.97Aug 8, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 10?$1.16Aug 8, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 8?$6.70Aug 8, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 9?$4.23Aug 8, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10?$0.76Aug 8, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 9?$2.96Aug 8, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
38 closed markets, 45% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.