Mixed-Territory
0x7c66d2ca32cfec7e81ccde73bba43b40a0b601b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$639.82
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
26667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-51.87
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2972 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-49.42
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2916 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-40.60
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
2033 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
1304 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-208.64
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1292 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1065 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
163 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-97.95
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.40Mar 6, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?$3.70Mar 6, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$2.13Mar 6, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.50Mar 6, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$11.40Mar 4, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$10.00Mar 4, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.88Mar 4, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$8.95Mar 4, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 4, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$1.00Mar 4, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.00Mar 4, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?$1.00Mar 4, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?$1.00Mar 4, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$4.00Feb 19, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$2.57Feb 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.43Feb 19, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$25.95Feb 19, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Feb 18, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.00Feb 18, 22:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.