Blushing-Edible-Mechanism
0x7c71fc1305a3c907c85d7ee2e61765db5ee39338
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.30
Total PnL
$-66.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
86 shares @ 39.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.04
$-27.60
- YES
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
51 shares @ 32.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.59
$-11.73
- NO
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?
50 shares @ 49.0¢·now 7.3¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$3.63
$-20.75
- YES
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
19 shares @ 40.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.04
$-6.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$20.55Jun 18, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$23.25Jun 18, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$67.44Jun 18, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$6.24Jun 18, 12:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$46.75Jun 18, 12:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$2.75Jun 18, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$60.18Jun 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$74.46Jun 18, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$39.32Jun 18, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$49.45Jun 18, 05:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.43Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?$0.00Jun 18, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$22.78Jun 18, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$46.57Jun 18, 00:34 UTC
- REWARD$33.43Jun 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win MSI 2026?$4.94Jun 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win MSI 2026?$5.91Jun 17, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$7.39Jun 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$8.67Jun 17, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?$2.75Jun 17, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $26.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.