Carefree-Bathhouse
0x7c7a9726506480e3c8af985353442bff8b437678
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.58
Total PnL
$-2.34
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$3.70
$0.01
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- NO
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.82
$0.82
- NO
Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$229.08Oct 25, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dolphins win the AFC Championship?$233.00Oct 17, 03:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Yemen 4 times by October 31?$242.75Oct 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Yemen 4 times by October 31?$243.00Oct 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$2.00Sep 27, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 27, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.01Sep 27, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?$1.03Sep 27, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$1.16Sep 27, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?$1.59Sep 27, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yunakivka before July?$1.00Jun 10, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?$1.00Jun 10, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Jun 10, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday?$1.00Jun 10, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?$2.09Jun 10, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x India military clash by June 30?$1.04Jun 10, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in his first 100 days?$1.02Jun 10, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the March 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?$1.02Jun 10, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.11Jun 10, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEM10-year Treasury yield below 4% before April?$1.18Jun 10, 03:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $28.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 02:30 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".