0x7c7edb3f48307bfb01f88d3adc7c63c54305c315
0x7c7edb3f48307bfb01f88d3adc7c63c54305c315
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$20.15
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$20.15
$0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
337 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-97.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
328 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-97.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
203 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-97.66
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
152 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
134 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
104 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-39.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
91 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-39.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
89 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-39.06
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
87 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$68.05Aug 20, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$41.15Aug 20, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Aug 20, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$41.29Aug 20, 04:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Aug 20, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$41.93Aug 20, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Aug 19, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$41.06Aug 19, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$60.61Aug 19, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$40.95Aug 19, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$74.07Aug 18, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$41.29Aug 18, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$83.33Aug 18, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$41.46Aug 18, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$68.97Aug 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$41.18Aug 18, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Aug 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$41.15Aug 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$78.35Aug 17, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Aug 17, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $41.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 04:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.