Square-Package
0x7c86d1f81c776371066c3d6158357c807833ada1
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-164.25
Win rate
18%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
1587 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-180.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
1133 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-294.76
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
520 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-107.80
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
247 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-104.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
200 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-51.55
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
173 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-65.48
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
139 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-47.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
111 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.26
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
108 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.18
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
103 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-31.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$16.44Dec 31, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.12Dec 31, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$16.33Dec 31, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$94.76Dec 31, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$4.83Dec 31, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$2.16Dec 31, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.12Dec 31, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.87Dec 31, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$100.00Dec 31, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$100.00Dec 31, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$20.00Dec 31, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$20.00Dec 31, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.78Dec 31, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.07Dec 31, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$3.56Dec 31, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$3.43Dec 31, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$3.22Dec 31, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.23Dec 31, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.46Dec 31, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$4.53Dec 31, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $16.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.