Pastel-Mythology
0x7c8b2af934eed0bad9b7437e927ef09c0ebca211
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$399.82
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-182.28
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
404 shares @ 93.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$377.03
$0.05
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
12 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.77
$0.20
- YES
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?
146 shares @ 54.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.66
$-72.85
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31?
208 shares @ 23.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.37
$-44.42
- YES
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
1953 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-811.48
- YES
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
886 shares @ 73.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-649.05
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
639 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-146.44
- YES
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
480 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-292.80
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?
393 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-77.40
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
236 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-67.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$844.53Jul 23, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$702.89Jul 23, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$69.60Jul 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$100.00Jul 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$100.00Jul 22, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$38.38Jul 22, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$319.28Jul 22, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?$79.51Jul 22, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?$0.59Jul 19, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?$143.52Jul 18, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$1.1KJul 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$543.67Jul 9, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$14.76Jul 9, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$301.56Jul 9, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?$34.73Jul 9, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$570.06Jul 8, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?$465.00Jun 26, 08:03 UTC
- MERGEWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?$636.32Jun 25, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?$664.90Jun 25, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?$41.35Jun 25, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $150.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 23:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.