Mountainous-Snob
0x7cb23057dcd7de57ef7545e3a1e67358d3de653e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-256.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ethereum above $4200 on August 15?
579 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-13.63
- YES
Bitcoin above $118K on August 18?
528 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-212.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $126K on August 18?
111 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-11.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $122K on August 18?
97 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.82
- YES
Bitcoin above $122K on August 18?
97 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on August 15?
17 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-7.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4400 on August 18?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum above $4400 on August 18?$9.00Aug 19, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $126K on August 18?$111.00Aug 19, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?$625.00Aug 19, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?$15.34Aug 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118K on August 18?$10.40Aug 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?$4.13Aug 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118K on August 18?$2.73Aug 17, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $122K on August 18?$5.82Aug 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?$58.20Aug 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $122K on August 18?$1.07Aug 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?$99.68Aug 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118K on August 18?$76.54Aug 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?$72.80Aug 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118K on August 18?$54.60Aug 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?$19.04Aug 17, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118K on August 18?$14.28Aug 17, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $118K on August 18?$99.45Aug 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118K on August 18?$53.55Aug 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $4400 on August 18?$5.22Aug 17, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4400 on August 18?$3.69Aug 17, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $56.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.