Far-Off-Rule
0x7cba8d7c178ee30a1f0982032f4e96c10f95ab24
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$64.41
Total PnL
$-16.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $120K on August 25?$30.72Aug 22, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$12.08Aug 22, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?$18.63Aug 22, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 15?$0.00Aug 22, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$30.49Aug 5, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Complexity win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?$0.00Aug 5, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 1 at 5PM ET?$2.40Aug 4, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3700 on August 1 at 5PM ET?$5.71Aug 4, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on August 1?$10.15Aug 4, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 1?$12.22Aug 4, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?$18.02Aug 1, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$18.02Aug 1, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on August 1?$10.00Aug 1, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 1 at 5PM ET?$2.23Aug 1, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3700 on August 1 at 5PM ET?$4.00Aug 1, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 1?$10.00Aug 1, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 15?$1.00Aug 1, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 25?$23.53Aug 1, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 24, 6PM ET$3.70Aug 1, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriela Firea be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$12.90Jul 24, 23:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $29.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.