0x7cc89a0176ec2db5f0b25d13a9b3c7be80e849da
0x7cc89a0176ec2db5f0b25d13a9b3c7be80e849da
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$4.96
Total PnL
$-2.26
Realised
$-0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$6.24Jun 1, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 22?$3.49May 21, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.50May 21, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.50May 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.98Apr 21, 22:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.21Apr 21, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?$0.20Apr 16, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.10Apr 15, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$4.31Apr 14, 22:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.10Apr 14, 22:06 UTC
- SPLITWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.50Apr 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.21Apr 14, 21:56 UTC
- SPLITWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.50Apr 14, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 14, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$2.74Apr 14, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.50Apr 14, 21:53 UTC
- MERGEWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the top AI model on April 17, 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.00Apr 14, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?$1.02Apr 14, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$2.92Apr 14, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.30Apr 14, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.