Insidious-Lipstick
0x7cc98bd686c5b7941502609826d14baea0d7b8a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$238.12
Total PnL
$-28.7K
Realised
$12.6K
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2925 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$83.37
$24.03
- YES
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
1857 shares @ 4.8¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.00
$-37.34
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1400 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.50
$12.90
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2159 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.15
$-11.42
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$26.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1180 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.39
$-11.21
- YES
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.38
$0.88
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
125 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.94
$-0.31
- YES
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
46 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.39
$0.02
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
99091 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.