Tidy-Marathon
0x7ccec29637829abd9e5d6f2cb68d4225c8fa8713
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-136.7K
Realised
$-65.7K
Win rate
1%
139 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9AM ET
15200 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-232.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7AM ET
13252 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-136.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 2PM ET
12861 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-119.35
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 11AM ET
11249 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-72.18
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 9AM ET
11232 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-79.51
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 9, 2AM ET
10923 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-61.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3AM ET
9780 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-81.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4AM ET
9705 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-82.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
9612 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-543.81
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 4AM ET
9611 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-81.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$317.18Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$322.00Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$350.50Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$362.37Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$369.09Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$384.38Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$393.84Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$397.43Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$417.35Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$417.58Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$442.01Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$449.01Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$463.95Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$473.00Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$484.31Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$494.49Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$495.00Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$500.00Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$500.00Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$500.00Feb 14, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 139 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
139 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 139 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.