Treasured-Tub
0x7cdb1e4ac35fd4d6f1b8ab656268022d973345b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$-2.54
Win rate
27%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 12PM ET
1873 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-235.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
738 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-195.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
693 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
634 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-89.03
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
350 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-61.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
342 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
309 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
271 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
261 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-138.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.26Apr 19, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.31Apr 19, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.20Apr 19, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.77Apr 19, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.07Apr 19, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$3.21Apr 19, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.35Apr 19, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.18Apr 19, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.88Apr 19, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.60Apr 19, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.75Apr 19, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$5.25Apr 19, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.00Apr 19, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$10.00Apr 19, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.69Apr 19, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.60Apr 19, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$3.19Apr 19, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.12Apr 19, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.30Apr 19, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.68Apr 19, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 11:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 00:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.