Sophisticated-Polenta
0x7cedbca898486190f14424055e5269c500037ce8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
4044 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
851 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-393.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
461 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-285.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 20?
334 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-94.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or higher on March 20?
291 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-87.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 20?
170 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-84.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 20?
136 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-58.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 20?
106 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
102 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 20?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$289.74Mar 21, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?$289.74Mar 21, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?$267.37Mar 21, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 20?$251.41Mar 21, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 20?$0.12Mar 21, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 20?$15.84Mar 20, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$35.11Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$624.57Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$545.95Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$656.27Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$400.00Mar 20, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 20?$58.20Mar 20, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$30.00Mar 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$156.89Mar 20, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$100.00Mar 20, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 19?$0.00Mar 20, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 19?$0.00Mar 20, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 19?$0.00Mar 20, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$20.00Mar 20, 11:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $144.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 21:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 07:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".