Disguised-Reasoning
0x7cef365d1b63174ac0fc5dcdd47d6024f620222a
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-662.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 7?
470 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-235.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 6?
460 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 7?
377 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 24?
290 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-145.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on January 6?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
244 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 5-11?
222 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 5?
203 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 30?
202 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET$470.00Jan 27, 09:52 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET$470.00Jan 20, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 20?$200.44Jan 20, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7AM ET$270.00Jan 20, 22:45 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7AM ET$270.00Jan 20, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 20?$200.00Jan 20, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5PM ET$475.00Jan 20, 11:02 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5PM ET$475.00Jan 19, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 19?$165.66Jan 19, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$310.00Jan 19, 21:50 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$310.00Jan 19, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 19?$165.00Jan 19, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?$202.48Jan 19, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$275.00Jan 19, 10:50 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$275.00Jan 17, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$275.00Jan 17, 16:17 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - January 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$275.00Jan 17, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?$200.00Jan 17, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$470.00Jan 17, 10:16 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - January 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$470.00Jan 16, 16:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $133.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 09:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.