Tangible-Parsley
0x7cf56dd179bdcbf619b80932210bf890d0e4ad84
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.18
Total PnL
$-566.39
Realised
$-3.84
Win rate
0%
63 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.10
$-4.07
- NO
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
5 shares @ 84.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.09
$-4.10
- UNDER
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5
64 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-59.84
- IOWA STORMBOAR
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs
61 shares @ 88.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-53.91
- UNDER
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5
60 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-56.20
- UNDER
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5
54 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-48.99
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
39 shares @ 96.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-37.42
- NO
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Canada vs Qatar FIFA World Cup Match?
22 shares @ 88.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.60
- MINNESOTA LYNX
Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx
20 shares @ 86.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-17.53
- NEW YORK LIBERTY
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty
20 shares @ 85.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-17.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2AM ET$4.10Jun 26, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 2AM ET$4.55Jun 26, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$5.08Jun 26, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: T1 Academy vs So:sweet - Map 1 Winner$5.78Jun 26, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$4.66Jun 26, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$4.05Jun 26, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$4.79Jun 26, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$4.18Jun 26, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$5.45Jun 26, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$4.40Jun 26, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$5.50Jun 26, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$5.40Jun 26, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$5.50Jun 26, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$5.38Jun 26, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$5.50Jun 26, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$4.64Jun 26, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: T1 Academy vs So:sweet - Map 1 Winner$5.50Jun 26, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET$4.49Jun 26, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$4.09Jun 26, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12AM ET$4.62Jun 26, 04:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 63 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
63 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 63 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.