Cylindrical-Ale
0x7d1bb9f000e5fce13db3a0927b64aa38e69de75c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$19.6K
Total PnL
$-405.16
Realised
$584.83
Win rate
78%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
7233 shares @ 82.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.6K
$669.68
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
5304 shares @ 68.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
1124 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$153.30
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?
696 shares @ 95.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$692.98
$28.30
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
704 shares @ 83.2¢·now 90.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$639.65
$53.97
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
3339 shares @ 23.5¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$600.98
$-182.59
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
20749 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$580.97
$-45.96
- YES
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
9879 shares @ 25.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$523.60
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
467 shares @ 93.1¢·now 93.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$438.70
$3.87
- NO
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?
468 shares @ 65.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$355.94
$48.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.15Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.28Jun 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$4.79Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.90Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$9.50Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$4.75Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$6.60Jun 13, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$6.80Jun 13, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$0.40Jun 13, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$196.22Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$20.00Jun 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$6.50Jun 13, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.26Jun 13, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.30Jun 13, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$0.29Jun 13, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$1.20Jun 13, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$2.24Jun 13, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$0.18Jun 13, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$1.40Jun 13, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$2.10Jun 13, 01:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.