Tremendous-Imbalance
0x7d1d6cdbaee4b15ef5cbde7cc709992eff3f9e17
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $2.60 on September 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4 AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,000 on September 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $4,000 on September 22?$1.00Sep 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $2.60 on September 22?$1.00Sep 22, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal spending decrease by $750b-1t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.00Jul 6, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 14, 4 AM ET$1.00Jun 14, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or below on May 15?$1.00May 15, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 67°F or higher on April 8?$506.51Apr 9, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 67°F or higher on April 8?$506.00Apr 7, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on April 5?$500.50Apr 6, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on April 5?$500.00Apr 5, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Jan 10-17?$0.00Apr 5, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$0.00Apr 5, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?$0.00Apr 5, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMTether Insolvent in 2024?$0.00Apr 5, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$0.00Apr 5, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$0.00Apr 5, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 425-449 times March 28 - April 4?$509.11Apr 5, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 425-449 times March 28 - April 4?$506.98Apr 3, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 750-799 times Jan 10-17?$1.00Jan 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?$1.00Jan 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?$2.00Jan 3, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $109.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 22, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.