Frilly-Double
0x7d2d1b2b406f00d5b43680e032e3c9117c6e254d
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.41
Total PnL
$-8.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will Trump say "Birth" or "Birthday" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "ISIS" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ISIS" at Fort Bragg on Friday?$1.00Feb 13, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Birth" or "Birthday" at Fort Bragg on Friday?$1.00Feb 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$1.00Feb 10, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?$1.00Feb 10, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 10, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 10, 05:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 21:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".