Arid-Cottage
0x7d2d6d34e976f8e51b33d7b3ecf11ff8211f21a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
103 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
60 shares @ 83.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.84
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
49 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$7.00Dec 25, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$49.84Dec 19, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$10.00Dec 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$10.00Nov 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$3.60Nov 25, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$20.00Nov 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$10.00Nov 25, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$33.00Nov 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$61.84Nov 25, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$61.84Nov 25, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$99.94Nov 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$9.99Nov 21, 17:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $33.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 17:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 15:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.