Frightening-Hound
0x7d3589238f840ed15173f1dc4c9a77bab6473d76
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$39.47
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
44832 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-109.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 2?
12471 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 27?
10112 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 4?
8116 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 5?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 2?
4732 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?
3488 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 2?
3301 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 30?
3294 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 5?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 18?$3.15Jul 16, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 17?$5.25Jul 16, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 17?$1.05Jul 16, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 17?$3.15Jul 16, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 17?$5.24Jul 16, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 17?$7.34Jul 16, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 16?$2.10Jul 16, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 15?$4.51Jul 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 15?$2.10Jul 13, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 15?$10.47Jul 13, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 14?$3.15Jul 13, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 14?$4.51Jul 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 14?$5.24Jul 13, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on July 15?$3.46Jul 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on July 13?$1.89Jul 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 14?$2.10Jul 12, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 36°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 12, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or below on July 14?$2.62Jul 12, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 13?$1.57Jul 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 13?$3.46Jul 12, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.