First-Maracas
0x7d3f458aa8d21125b52003f1537b31706cf8a3ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.46
Total PnL
$-4.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.12
$3.12
- NO
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
4 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
8 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
7 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?$5.99Nov 28, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?$4.84Nov 7, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon SBF by October 31?$4.03Nov 7, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.26Oct 27, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.12Oct 27, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.12Oct 27, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.01Oct 27, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.00Oct 27, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.12Oct 27, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.00Oct 27, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.13Oct 27, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.00Oct 27, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.04Oct 27, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.05Oct 27, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.00Oct 27, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.00Oct 27, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.00Oct 27, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.12Oct 27, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.05Oct 27, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 27?$0.04Oct 27, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.