Far-Flung-Thousand
0x7d4612b8002ce42d7109071d2a60e040e609f816
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
158
Open notional
$21.46
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-4.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$15.36
$-4.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.95
$-2.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 30?
1501 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 13?
416 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 23?
302 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-6.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 30?
271 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 21?
239 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 14?
216 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 4?
168 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-28.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 22?$14.71Jul 23, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.13Jul 22, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.12Jul 22, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$25.00Jul 22, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$16.61Jul 22, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$2.13Jul 22, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$2.13Jul 22, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$42.57Jul 22, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.27Jul 22, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.27Jul 22, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$5.29Jul 22, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 23?$5.01Jul 22, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.10Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.23Jul 21, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.20Jul 21, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.23Jul 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.23Jul 21, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?$5.06Jul 21, 02:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 02:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.