Zesty-Fairness
0x7d4816ebc2c1edf0f5127a14d83d4e63dfa8ab03
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$4.66
Total PnL
$-71.13
Realised
$-3.01
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.66
$0.00
- YES
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.50 in May?
499 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- NO
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?
351 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- NO
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 29, 2026?
264 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.10
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 31, 2026?
210 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 27, 2026?
160 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 49.0 and 49.9 in May?
109 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- NO
Will Walmart Q1 US comparable sales growth be between 4.0% and 4.3%?
99 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 31?
96 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 20, 2026?
94 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?$4.66Jul 15, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$4.60Jul 1, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$4.60Jun 10, 08:50 UTC
- REWARD$1.97Jun 3, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$0.22Jun 2, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$0.30Jun 2, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 28, 2026?$0.29Jun 2, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 28, 2026?$0.35Jun 2, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 28, 2026?$1.04Jun 2, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$3.28Jun 2, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?$0.10Jun 2, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?$0.08Jun 2, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?$0.02Jun 2, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?$0.15Jun 2, 01:07 UTC
- REWARD$4.18Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$53.43Jun 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$0.02Jun 1, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?$0.28Jun 1, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?$0.02Jun 1, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 1?$0.02Jun 1, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 14:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.