Inferior-South
0x7d5baa07c7075f10c867707ccd4df142a931e666
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.19
Total PnL
$-239.35
Realised
$7.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.19
$2.96
- YES
GPT ads by December 31?
948 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-109.83
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?
127 shares @ 98.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- NO
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on November 4?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$2.23Jan 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 16?$125.00Jan 16, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on January 15?$127.05Jan 16, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on January 15?$125.00Jan 15, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 13?$122.82Jan 14, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 13?$120.00Jan 13, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 12?$102.41Jan 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 12?$100.00Jan 12, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 2?$0.00Jan 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 6?$0.00Jan 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 9?$0.00Jan 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 2?$30.61Jan 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 6?$30.61Jan 12, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 9?$30.99Jan 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 9?$30.00Jan 9, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 6?$30.00Jan 6, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 2?$30.00Jan 2, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$27.40Jan 1, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 30?$31.12Jan 1, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?$56.59Jan 1, 14:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $32.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.