Bewitched-Larder
0x7d643330447f2772b33dfdbc94c5a751fdfc6619
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.34
Total PnL
$-161.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?
54 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
425 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
179 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
169 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 12?
135 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$7.55Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$0.48Jun 12, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$0.22Jun 11, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$1.02Jun 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$1.03Jun 9, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on June 10?$1.03Jun 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on June 12?$1.04Jun 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Mythos be released on June 11?$1.04Jun 9, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 18, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$10.00Apr 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$40.03Apr 18, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$9.00Apr 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$5.00Apr 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$10.00Apr 14, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.