Grubby-Blog
0x7d720bb073b532b08dab92743cf03bcdee57f6cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$6.55
Total PnL
$-114.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 19?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 19?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 19?
1 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 19?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
29 shares @ 93.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-27.27
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
15 shares @ 90.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
13 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 19?$1.00Jul 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 19?$1.00Jul 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 19?$1.01Jul 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 19?$1.00Jul 18, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.01Jul 18, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.00Jul 18, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$1.01Jul 18, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?$1.04Jul 18, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 29?$1.06Jul 18, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$1.08Jul 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 29?$1.00Jun 28, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 29?$1.01Jun 28, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?$1.00Jun 28, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$1.00Jun 28, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.35Jun 28, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$2.13Jun 28, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$5.00Jun 28, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$2.01Jun 5, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1.02Jun 5, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$4.62Jun 5, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.