Dependent-Listening
0x7d72e253400124e3af7471ad75c819258f575032
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$105.79
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
66 shares @ 99.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.24
$-0.49
- NO
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
22 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.52
$-0.11
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
22 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.03
$-0.11
- NO
Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
2902 shares @ 68.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?$15.00Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$21.00Jun 30, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 17?$21.00Jun 17, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$18.00Jun 16, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$21.64Jun 16, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$65.74Jun 16, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$19.24Jun 16, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 17?$20.96Jun 16, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Senegal end in a draw?$14.31Jun 16, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.96Jun 16, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?$14.94Jun 16, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$10.00Jun 16, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$14.33Jun 16, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on March 18?$15.00Jun 16, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$16.21Jun 16, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$43.25Jun 16, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$80.00Jun 16, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$15.03Mar 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on March 18?$14.97Mar 17, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$30.00Mar 17, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $140.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.