Tangible-Piece
0x7d77f6ba8e230366271895c87b04a05a072c24f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$190.99
Total PnL
$1.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 16?
71 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$69.79
$6.60
- NO
Will Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?
60 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$55.50
$0.30
- NO
Trump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?
60 shares @ 82.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$42.60
$-6.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 17?
24 shares @ 91.1¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$23.10
$1.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 17?$22.00Jul 16, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?$21.84Jul 16, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 16?$63.19Jul 16, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump alleges Georgia foreign election interference by July 16?$49.55Jul 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping on July 13?$113.14Jul 16, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump accuse North Korea of election interference by July 16?$55.38Jul 16, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$54.17Jul 16, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$1.52Jul 15, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?$19.82Jul 15, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$5.85Jul 12, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$30.94Jul 12, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$12.49Jul 12, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$48.90Jul 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$19.56Jul 12, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 13?$6.24Jul 12, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 13?$73.24Jul 12, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on July 13?$16.80Jul 12, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?$86.33Jul 12, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran military action against a Gulf State on July 11?$9.45Jul 12, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$58.51Jul 11, 05:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $102.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.