Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$89.29

Total PnL

$-19.0K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 61

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026
$89.29
$39.29
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
10245 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026
$0.00
$-1.4K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
6855 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026
$0.00
$-1.1K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
5092 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
4692 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026
$0.00
$-2.5K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
4113 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
4072 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026
$0.00
$-778.39
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
3492 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-2.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
2299 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-224.77
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2038 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026
$0.00
$-199.61

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$51.58May 5, 16:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$62.17May 2, 15:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$189.40May 2, 14:10 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.00May 2, 14:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$106.39May 2, 13:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$221.05Feb 25, 16:25 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$62.07Feb 25, 16:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$42.53Feb 25, 16:20 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$201.51Feb 25, 16:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$99.25Feb 25, 16:14 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 21:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$287.35Feb 22, 21:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$287.35Feb 22, 21:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$281.87Feb 22, 21:38 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$281.88Feb 22, 21:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$276.25Feb 22, 21:28 UTC
REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score$0.00Feb 22, 21:17 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$48.16Feb 22, 21:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$324.56Feb 11, 21:35 UTC
TRADESELLSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$552.64Feb 11, 21:25 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry52 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk85 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 44
Avg trade size: $362.35
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 11, 15:03 UTC
Last active: May 5, 16:06 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:21:37 UTC·src:Polymarket Data