Crazy-Gavel
0x7d8d2ea64fc0b472c77091694ee92699057d45e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$128.82
Total PnL
$-6.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
129 shares @ 96.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.82
$4.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
4960 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- NO
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- NO
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- NO
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$124.79May 11, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$2.70May 4, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2.73May 4, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$42.39May 4, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $20 in April?$78.16May 4, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$1.89Apr 20, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 in April?$78.09Apr 20, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 13-19?$77.64Apr 20, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 April 13-19?$77.57Apr 16, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 6-12?$77.96Apr 13, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 April 6-12?$77.89Apr 9, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?$2.38Apr 9, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,700 March 30-April 5?$80.04Apr 6, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,700 March 30-April 5?$79.97Apr 2, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$2.21Apr 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?$2.05Apr 2, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$1.16Apr 2, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$41.70Apr 2, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?$3.21Apr 1, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?$121.25Apr 1, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $64.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.