That-Appointment
0x7d8d9d8543d7de1eddfb1fb0e06f131d5129f40d
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$113.61
Total PnL
$12.03
Realised
$1.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
42 shares @ 64.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.04
$14.97
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
48 shares @ 26.0¢·now 31.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$15.34
$2.84
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$14.74
$4.73
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$14.09
$4.08
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.83
$-0.18
- TEAM SYNTAX
Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$5.50
$0.30
- PLAYTIME
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B
15 shares @ 29.2¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$3.45
$-0.93
- RUNE EATERS
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$2.33
$0.38
- RUNE EATERS
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$2.26
$0.31
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.21
$-2.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMDota 2: Hive vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner$5.00Jul 4, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Habibis vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group B$10.00Jul 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B$0.17Jul 4, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Habibis vs Invision - Game 1 Winner$10.00Jul 4, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Hive vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner$4.25Jul 4, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Habibis vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group B$3.28Jul 4, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Habibis vs Invision - Game 1 Winner$3.80Jul 4, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Habibis vs Invision - Game 1 Winner$2.00Jul 4, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Habibis vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group B$2.00Jul 4, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B$0.35Jul 4, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group B$1.30Jul 3, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 2 Winner$3.10Jul 3, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Syntax vs Habibis - Game 2 Winner$3.14Jul 3, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 2 Winner$5.22Jul 3, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: BALU vs Invision (BO3) - European Pro League Group B$6.20Jul 3, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 2 Winner$3.59Jul 3, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 2 Winner$0.56Jul 3, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BALU vs Invision - Game 2 Winner$0.18Jul 3, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1.94Jul 3, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.94Jul 3, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 19:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.