Prize-Satisfaction
0x7d9e83bf4198b398db8e43ec9e902abcf8249b4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-781.43
Realised
$-324.74
Win rate
0%
51 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
145 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-43.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
127 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-39.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
100 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-26.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
66 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-37.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
53 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
45 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-25.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
41 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.90
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$3.10Jun 19, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.06Jun 19, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.20Jun 19, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.03Jun 19, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$2.43Jun 19, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$2.08Jun 19, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.06Jun 19, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.81Jun 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$2.07Jun 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.01Jun 19, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.07Jun 12, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$0.16Jun 12, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1.05Jun 12, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.96Jun 12, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.35Jun 12, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.07Jun 12, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.10Jun 12, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.09Jun 12, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.06Jun 12, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$6.71Jun 12, 21:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 51 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
51 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 51 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.