Foolish-Constraint
0x7da72d32519b77b1c0a8bcecacb99c32c35373a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.09
Total PnL
$3.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
11 shares @ 53.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$11.39
$5.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$2.35
$0.89
- NO
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$1.35
$0.30
- YES
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?
8 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Jul 16, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 15?$1.46Jul 15, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$53.87Jun 27, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)$0.00Jun 1, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$5.13May 22, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)$1.06May 17, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$14.67May 16, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.10Feb 7, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$33.75Feb 7, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.10Jan 31, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$33.72Jan 31, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$7.10Jan 21, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$27.81Jan 21, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$3.81Jan 19, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$7.06Jan 19, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$23.73Jan 19, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$1.59Jan 8, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$5.17Jan 8, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?$1.56Jan 2, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain launch in 2024?$2.42Jan 2, 06:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $6.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.