Frozen-Outlaw
0x7dac555b04832b5961d945622d9da518355c7d5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
2181 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-67.56
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
1500 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-124.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
993 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-39.73
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
741 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-376.44
- YES
No airdrop in 2025?
741 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-175.62
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
700 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-85.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
567 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-44.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
565 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-41.65
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
400 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$9.79Jul 11, 12:09 UTC
- REWARD$3.33Mar 31, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$8.96Mar 31, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$403.84Mar 30, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$11.15Mar 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$410.00Mar 30, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$404.00Mar 30, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$400.00Mar 30, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$614.70Mar 30, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$245.30Mar 30, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$370.00Mar 30, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$364.99Mar 30, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$328.84Mar 30, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$31.16Mar 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$351.50Mar 30, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$352.27Mar 30, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$7.23Mar 30, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$337.58Mar 30, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$19.42Mar 30, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$249.40Mar 30, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $269.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.