0x7db4660ce77913c583275b26a80a6c8fe7f1241c
0x7db4660ce77913c583275b26a80a6c8fe7f1241c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?
645 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-264.45
- NO
Will Legacy qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?
590 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-336.30
- MIBR
PGL Astana: FURIA vs. MIBR
540 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-151.20
- YES
Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?
320 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-115.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on April 18?
260 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-04-19?
40 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$0.00
$-25.20
- YES
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.60
- MCCANN
Molly McCann vs. Alexia Thainara
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Made in America" 2+ times during tariff event on April 2?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 18–25?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Legacy qualify for Stage 2 of the BLAST.tv Austin Major?$336.30Jun 6, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate say "Nursing home" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$335.00Jun 5, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?$2.05Jun 4, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 4 at 5 PM ET?$2.15Jun 4, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 3 at 5 PM ET?$2.10Jun 3, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 3 at 5 PM ET?$2.15Jun 3, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate say "Nursing home" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$90.00Jun 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate say "Nursing home" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$9.00Jun 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate say "Nursing home" during NYC Democratic Primary Debate on June 4?$102.00Jun 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGL Astana: FURIA vs. MIBR$7.00May 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPGL Astana: FURIA vs. MIBR$144.20May 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Forward Guidance" during Framework Review speech on May 15?$150.50May 15, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Forward Guidance" during Framework Review speech on May 15?$45.50May 15, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Forward Guidance" during Framework Review speech on May 15?$105.00May 15, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Reagan" during his May 13 interview?$150.00May 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reagan" during his May 13 interview?$25.20May 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reagan" during his May 13 interview?$3.15May 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Reagan" during his May 13 interview?$66.15May 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?$15.60May 5, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Saylor say "A.I" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?$10.00May 5, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $39.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.