Probable-Drama
0x7dc0d5a8727011e091e42a248b4024043ff89328
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$148.61
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
142 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$141.08
$0.35
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$5.00
$1.80
- UNDER
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$2.54
$0.03
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 10AM ET
2967 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 9AM ET
1387 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-693.50
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 6, 10PM ET
446 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-223.00
- OVER
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5
7 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- UNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5
6 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- SPURS
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5$2.51Jun 4, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5$7.30Jun 4, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5$2.31Jun 3, 05:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5$1.72Jun 1, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5$0.77Jun 1, 07:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$7.00May 31, 03:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$5.36May 30, 05:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5$5.30May 29, 03:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5$0.13May 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5$3.26May 28, 07:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $26.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 09:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".