Exciting-Peach
0x7dc6be1c1f5fcd553380b767a8dd09b581df3d58
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-3.0K
Win rate
7%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
5000 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
4444 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
579 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
476 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-131.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
452 shares @ 44.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
282 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-105.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
262 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-79.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
219 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-78.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?
214 shares @ 69.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
133 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?$699.35May 21, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?$104.58May 21, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?$40.02May 21, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 21?$118.01May 20, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?$114.88May 20, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 21?$685.74May 20, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 20?$154.69May 20, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$534.18May 20, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 21?$110.24May 20, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 20?$40.24May 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$100.19May 19, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 20?$50.33May 19, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$100.22May 19, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$200.62May 19, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 20?$45.29May 19, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 20?$100.57May 19, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$105.79May 17, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?$152.25May 17, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 17?$100.22May 17, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$26.32May 16, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
44 closed markets, 7% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $102.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 06:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.