Usable-Ground
0x7ddffa96ecd4c24e585a81792e5ce4d6ee502766
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$-2.7K
Win rate
24%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-18?
1015 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-507.50
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
967 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-483.26
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
759 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-379.70
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
704 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-352.13
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
677 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-338.56
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
615 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-307.50
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
546 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-272.82
- NO
Will England win on 2026-06-17?
532 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-265.89
- YES
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-251.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$212.00Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$12.87Jul 19, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$37.73Jul 19, 21:06 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$58.00Jul 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$40.83Jul 19, 21:04 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$154.00Jul 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.82Jul 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$38.78Jul 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.23Jul 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.81Jul 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$15.84Jul 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.43Jul 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$2.88Jul 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$30.67Jul 19, 19:55 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$82.00Jul 19, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$117.60Jul 19, 19:52 UTC
- SPLITWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$87.00Jul 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$11.54Jul 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$40.31Jul 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.33Jul 19, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
66/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $39.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.