Modern-Shoreline
0x7e073966dfe36237534b5eafaf874d43a93ed211
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$161.04
Total PnL
$-874.15
Realised
$-422.53
Win rate
0%
145 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
22 shares @ 72.4¢·now 87.7¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$18.96
$3.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?
11 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$11.34
$9.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?
11 shares @ 63.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$11.34
$4.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?
11 shares @ 56.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$10.61
$4.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?
11 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$10.61
$2.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
12 shares @ 12.6¢·now 87.4¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$10.46
$8.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?
10 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$10.36
$4.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?
12 shares @ 45.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$10.26
$4.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?
11 shares @ 31.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$10.14
$6.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 14?
14 shares @ 15.0¢·now 65.8¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$9.17
$7.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 14?$5.26Jul 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 14?$1.58Jul 14, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 14?$2.82Jul 14, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 14?$2.01Jul 14, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?$2.45Jul 14, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?$5.60Jul 14, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 14?$0.26Jul 14, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 14?$1.30Jul 14, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 13?$0.00Jul 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?$8.44Jul 14, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 145 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
145 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 145 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.