Upset-Curl
0x7e0b4e7bc6d4f74168f2b0465b8d9c5ed7026c8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-134.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5$137.25Apr 10, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.08Apr 10, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$2.06Apr 10, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$2.67Apr 10, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026?$3.04Apr 10, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?$3.13Apr 10, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026?$3.00Mar 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?$3.00Mar 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?$2.00Mar 6, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.54Mar 6, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.73Mar 6, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$2.04Mar 6, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3.19Mar 6, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$2.00Feb 22, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Feb 22, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$3.00Feb 22, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$2.50Feb 22, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.40Jan 29, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$2.40Jan 29, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$2.30Jan 29, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $14.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 20:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.